sadr
The Associated Press

The image of radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr looms over a book shop in Najaf.

Featured Topic | Posted 39 weeks 2 days ago

Is Iraq in danger of renewed violence?

For the last six months, Muqtada al-Sadr has helped reduce violence in Iraq -- his Shiite cleric's self-declared cease-fire order to his Mahdi Army made life much easier for American troops patrolling the streets of Baghdad. One estimate said the cease-fire reduced violence by 60 percent. But that relative peace may soon end.

Sadr has threatened to lift the cease-fire by the end of the week. His followers have become restless as U.S. troops have conducted raids against alleged breakaway factions of the Mahdi Army backed by Iran.

Why would the cease-fire end? What does it mean for Iraq's stability?

Read More

Ben likes: Pressure on Sadr and the Iranian-backed Special Groups continues

Bill Roggio/Long War Journal

Sadr's decision to either continue or end the cease-fire has serious implications for his political movement. Ending the ceasefire puts him in the crosshairs of the US and Iraqi military, and expose the depth or shallowness of his support in the Shia community. This would also risk any remaining goodwill that exists in the Shia community, which has enjoyed the recent reduction in violence and has become increasingly hostile to the activities of the Mahdi Army.

Read More

Joel likes: We do not negotiate with terrorists

Matthew Duss/TAPPED

Understanding the deal the U.S. has made with Sadr is key to understanding what the surge strategy is really all about, and why treating the surge as representing any kind of "success" for the Iraq war is a bit like celebrating winning twenty dollars at blackjack right after having lost a thousand at poker.

In exchange for Muqtada's cooperation in reigning in the more extreme elements of his militia and his help in reducing violence from staggering to merely unacceptable levels, the U.S. has effectively ratified his control of a large, formerly mixed areas of Baghdad, secured his position as arguably Iraq's most popular Shi'ite political leader, and consigned thousands of Iraqis to life under a proto-state regime of religious fundamentalism that is about as authoritarian as Saddam's was, but with the added bonus of no liquor, no movies, and with women forced to veil themselves and and prohibited from skilled professions. And, as a double-bonus: This regime is oriented toward Shi'ite Iran.

Read More

Where do you stand on this issue?

Click on the graph to cast your vote.
average
vote
your vote

Join the Debate

Start your own blog, comment on topics, and let your voice be heard. Start your free account now!

User login

login

Ads by Google