
The voting has started.
Super Tuesday: Somebody has to win this thing, right?
Finally: Super Tuesday. Twenty-four states turn out voters in what may be the make-or-break contest of presidential nominating season. Will John McCain cement his hold on the GOP nomination, or does Mitt Romney have a surprise in store? Can Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama establish a clear advantage, or will their fight go all the way to the Democratic convention in Denver?
After the jump: Decide your candidate for president by checking out selected newpaper endorsements from the Super Tuesday states.















Thoughts
You vote for the candidates you have...
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by Ben...not the candidates you wish you had.
Does Somebody Have to Win
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by Monkey DavidIn both parties this could be a very fragmented picture. I'm not making a prediction here, but it's very possible that this could go one for a few more weeks. I'd bet against brokered conventions, though...
California absentee ballots
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by Jim LakelyThe unsinkable Romney supporter, Hugh Hewitt, notes that fully 40 percent of Californians voted by absentee ballot. He puts the figure at 3 million, predicting that 25 percent of those ballots will not be counted by the end of the night.
If that's the case, it's probably not good for Romney, since the votes were cast before his supposed surge of support in California. But this gets me thinking ...
Every year, some blogger's darling candidate is defeated -- yet they stubbornly cling to absentee-vote hope. Don't declare for McCain, yet, CNN!! The absentees are still being counted!!!
Maybe, so. But I cannot recall a single major-race election in which absentee votes, once carefully tallied, swung the election to the other guy.
Re: Re: Mike Huckabee wins W. Virginia
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by BenYou're no fun, Jim.
Depending on whom you believe, either McCain's people threw in with Huckabee to break a hopeless deadlock (says Michael Medved) or they went with Huck to deny Romney the win (says Fox News). Six of one, half a dozen of the other, I say.
Re: Mike Huckabee wins W. Virginia
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by Jim LakelyNo.
Mike Huckabee wins W. Virginia
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by BenHow about that! Eighteen delegates go to the Republican "Man from Hope," with a little help from the senator from Arizona. Congratulations to Huckabee. Could the dark horse be sprinting for real?
Compressed primary schedule
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by Jim LakelyWe've heard much grousing this year over how the compressed, front-loaded primary schedule is a terrible thing. But the intense and accelerated schedule has turned out to be a great thing for democracy.
In 1996, Bob Dole had the Republican nomination wrapped up before Super Tuesday rolled around.
In 2000, once Bush beat McCain in South Carolina -- the fourth primary -- it was all over. (Yet, even then, people were concerned about the process being too front-loaded.) And Gore, essentially, was able to easily dispatch Bill Bradley.
In 2004, Kerry had a commanding lead after Iowa, and then wrapped it up on "Mini Tuesday," -- again, before Super Tuesday.
I know that this year is different, being the first election in decades that didn't feature either an incumbent running or a veep looking to move up in pay grade. But I think the excitement surrounding this election, for voters and political junkies, has a lot to do with the much-maligned compressed primary schedule.
Thanks to Super Duper Tuesday, millions of voters actually get a real say in who the party's nominees will be. As a Californian, I'm glad that I have a chance to make a real choice, instead of ceding it to a few thousand quirky voters in a few quirky states. Indeed, if not for Super Duper Tuesday, Romney's campaign would pretty much be over. Today, he can reach out to the lifeline that is California. Even if McCain wins the Golden State, he probably won't win by much -- and Romney is certain to almost split the delegate-count with McCain. And there has even been serious talk about a "brokered convention," for both parties. That's how open, and utterly unlike the last several cycles, this presidential race has been.
A large, regional/national primary system would be best, but Super Duper Tuesday is as close as we've ever gotten. Voters in California, New York, wide swaths of the South and in the Rocky Mountains are making their choices. Every vote in those states matters. That strikes me as a healthy thing.
Clinton or Obama?
Submitted on February 5th, 2008 by JoelTonight's the caucus. And honestly, I'm still not sure whom to support between Obama and Clinton.
One candidate has a little bit -- ok, quite a bit more of a hold on my heart than the other. But that's kind of like picking a president based on whom you'd most like to have a beer with. And we all know how that works out. So I'm disinclined to listen to my heart.
My head then. But my head is torn.
I like Clinton better on health care. I like Obama better on the war. Beyond that, it's tough to tell the difference.
So my decision, I think, comes down to the art of the possible.
Do I think Obama is capable of a Reaganesque realignment of our national politics? Because that's what he's promising, and anything short of that will be a failure.
Or do I think, as another pundit observed, that politics now happens between the 49-yard lines, where Clinton is perhaps most capable of eking out some small victories?
It's a tough choice.