The Associated Press

Three amigos? Obama, Clinton and Edwards compete for delegates in South Carolina.

Featured Topic | Posted 43 weeks 18 hours ago

What's at stake in South Carolina? Clinton and Obama battle for supremacy

After weeks of exchanging barbs about race, the remaining Democratic candidates for president square off in South Carolina's primary on Saturday. In a state where roughly half of Democratic voters are black, many pollsters and commentators are giving Barack Obama the edge. But Hillary Clinton and her ex-president husband have been campaigning hard in the Palmetto State. And John Edwards is just trying to be heard.

When the ballots are counted, will the winner be the best candidate to face the Republican nominee in November? Has the racially-tinged campaign in South Carolina poisoned the election for the Democrats?

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Ben likes: No race war to see here

Philip Klein/The American Spectator

Hillary Clinton, whose husband benefited politically from his strong ties to the black community, has seen her support among that demographic group evaporate in early nominating contests. In Nevada, Barack Obama captured 83 percent of the black vote and in Michigan where Obama wasn't even on the ballot, 68 percent of African Americans voted for "uncommitted" over the former first lady.

These trends have forced her to virtually concede South Carolina to Obama, where blacks make up roughly half of the Democratic electorate, and she'll likely be in trouble in other states with large black populations.

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Joel likes: The coming long campaign

Sam Boyd/The American Prospect

Essentially, Clinton and Obama will enter February 5 with roughly the same number of delegates and, if Obama wins South Carolina, similar chances at winning most states (though I think Clinton will retain an advantage). But, no matter what happens, it seems likely that the two candidates will not differ in total delegates by more than 10 percent or so. What does this mean? It means we'll have a lot more campaigning left after February 5. Neither candidate will be ready to concede and neither candidate will be clearly winning so the campaign will continue.

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