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The Associated Press

John McCain beams as Florida Gov. Charlie Crist enjoys the show.

Featured Topic | Posted 43 weeks 6 days ago

Florida fallout: McCain wins... and Giuliani leaves?

John McCain won the Florida primary, beating Mitt Romney in a closely run contest. But the Arizona senator prevailed for the most part without the help of conservatives. Yes, the win gives McCain a big boost. He has delegates, he has momentum. He even has respect. But does he have love?

Meantime, Rudy Giuliani's Florida gambit failed spectacularly and the former New York mayor is reportedly set to bow out and throw his support to McCain. Should he?

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Ben likes: From Rudy to Romney

Patrick Ruffini/Townhall.com

Despite the outcome in Florida, Republicans across the nation should spend the next week thinking long and hard about the demoralizing prospect of a McCain nomination.

There has been a fair amount of discussion of flip-flopping in this race. Well, McCain has changed a few of his positions too. He changed away from conservatism. In the 1980s and early 1990s, he was a solidly credentialed member of the Reagan-Goldwater coalition who was right in line with the people of Arizona. In the late 1990s, when he saw that he could get better press for his dark horse Presidential aspirations as a “maverick,” he changed. McCain could fairly point out that he stood on “principle.” But it is equally fair to point out that those principles aren’t ours.

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Joel likes: The win he needed

John Nichols/The Nation

Florida was the win McCain needed -- and with it all of the 57 delegates awarded in the winner-take-all contest. But it was not the win McCain wanted.

The senator Florida won on the basis of the strong support he received from the state's large blocs of moderate and liberal Republican primary voters. Unfortunately for McCain, liberals are definitely not the essential players in the Republican nominating process. Moderates are not the heart-and-soul players in the Republican Party. Conservatives are. And McCain is still struggling to win their loyalty. Indeed, even now, former Secretary of Education Bill Bennett says, "The anger and bitterness toward John McCain is extraordinary among conservatives."

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The Associated Press

The polls show Giuliani's standing has gone to the dogs.

Featured Topic | Posted 44 weeks 6 hours ago

Sunshine State showdown: Will Florida be Rudy Giuliani's last hurrah?

John McCain and Mitt Romney enter Tuesday's primary in Florida trading blows over the war. But the real story, in many respects, is the vulnerable candidacy of Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

Giuliani calculated that he could essentially avoid the early contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, and South Carolina and vault to victory in Florida and the delegate-rich states lined up on February 5. If the polls are any indication, the strategy doesn't seem to be working as planned.

But what do the pollsters know, anyway? Can Giuliani come from behind? Or is the struggle between McCain and Romney the real fight?

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BEN LIKES: Guiliani's last stand

Ryan Sager/The New York Post

Faced with deficits to make up on abortion and past support for gay rights, Giuliani pursued a strategy that systematically dismantled everything that once made his candidacy appealing to his core supporters. The man who was once supposed to extend the GOP's reach outside of the South -- in states like New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, California -- instead played a southern strategy.

The best thing Giuliani can do now is to bow out gracefully should he come up with anything less than a win in Florida. He had his chance and wasted it: The least he can do now is stop wasting our time.

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JOEL LIKES: "Best dope in the world ... and it's free."

Eric Alterman/Media Matters

The media has latched onto the eggs-in-one-basket storyline, keeping Rudy's candidacy alive, despite it being totally disconnected from the facts -- as they do when assigning grand narrative arcs to candidates that bear no relation to the simple fact of how many delegates have been compiled. Reporters insist on this narrative even despite being told by Rudy himself, as our sponsors note, that he hadn't skipped New Hampshire and spent more time there than he had in Florida.

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The Associated Press

Sen. John McCain courts the youth vote.

Featured Topic | Posted 44 weeks 1 day ago

Showdown in the Sunshine State: Is McCain’s surge too late?

Sen. John McCain is pushing hard in the remaining 24 hours before the Florida primary. He's collecting endorsements from prominent Florida pols, including Gov. Charlie Crist and Sen. Mel Martinez. And he's attacking rival Mitt Romney, who holds the lead in some polls.

McCain's tough tactics in Florida are also raising the hackles of some conservatives who distrust the Arizona Senator. With the race so close and the stakes so high, has McCain overplayed his hand?

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Ben likes: Did he or didn't he?

Paul Mirengoff/Powerline

The fact remains that, throughout the debate about Iraq, John McCain brought to the table an independence of judgment that Mitt Romney (and just about everyone else) did not. McCain refused to defer to the Defense Department when things were going badly in Iraq. Rather he kept advocating another approach -- essentially the one that’s working now. So McCain has the better record, but that doesn't justify trying to make Romney’s record sound worse than it is.

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Joel likes: "Well, he's lying"

Andrew Sullivan/Daily Dish

Romney blurts out the truth. For a change. But it remains true that he was never as enthusiastic/delusional a supporter of the surge as McCain. McCain's biggest liability in the fall is his total embrace of a permanent Iraq occupation. Romney, as usual, gave himself some lee-way.

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The Associated Press

They meet again.

Featured Topic | Posted 44 weeks 4 days ago

Is Florida do-or-die for the Republicans?

The ever-shrinking Republican presidential field meets for potentially the last time as a 5-way contest on Thursday night in Boca Raton. It is the only debate before the state’s crucial Jan. 29 primary. With Mitt Romney, John McCain, Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani jockeying for first in the polls, there’s a do-or-die feel to tonight's contest.

The candidates are crafting their messages that appeal to Sunshine State voters, such as plans for national disaster insurance. But what about issues that affect the rest of the country? And should the Florida debate shape the remaining primary elections?

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Ben likes: The panhandle pander

The Wall Street Journal

Will America's taxpayers underwrite hurricane insurance for Florida homeowners?

Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, desperately needing a win in the Sunshine State, has made support for the Florida bailout a centerpiece of his recent speeches. His new Web video proudly announces that among the GOP candidates, "only one has a plan to lower rates and fix the insurance mess. Tested in crisis. Ready to lead. Rudy Giuliani." So the hero of 9/11 will apply that experience to making sure South Beach homeowners can buy insurance at below-market rates. America's Mayor is now vying to become America's Insurance Commissioner.

And Giuliani isn't the only one.

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Joel likes: Pay to play

Mori Dinauer/The American Prospect

Besides being an expensive state to run ads in, Florida has also taken on the status of "must-win" for the Republican field. Rudy Giuliani, who has looked like an also-ran (if that) for weeks now, has staked his entire nomination strategy on big states like Florida. And even though he has financial problems of his own, Giuliani is likely to use whatever remains of his war chest to soak Florida in advertisements to augment his near-residential status in the Sunshine State in a Hail-Mary effort to resurrect his campaign. Romney, as the article notes, is more than capable of simply funding his own ad buys to hopefully expand his delegate lead. Put all of this together and McCain's media-designated status as the Republican front-runner hinges heavily on stopping Romney in Florida.

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The Associated Press

Rudy on the march in Florida.

Featured Topic | Posted 45 weeks 20 hours ago

Showdown in the Sunshine State: Candidates battle for Florida

Rudy Giuliani always said he was running a national campaign, aiming for the big states with the fattest delegate counts. So he avoided Iowa and New Hampshire. He had no presence in Michigan or Nevada or South Carolina. And he lost those contests. Lost big.

Florida is the test. The conventional wisdom is, if Rudy can't win there, he can't win anywhere.

Does running a "wholesale campaign" at the expense of old-fashioned "retail politics" make sense?

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Ben likes: Rudy's Last Stand

Larry Thornberry/The American Spectator

Rudy is here because Florida is more important to him than Nevada or South Carolina. The rest of the boys and their campaign staffs and their telemarketers will be here shortly after the votes are counted in South Carolina. I'm eager too see how it turns out. But I'm not eager to spend the next 10 days answering my telephone in this wise: "Hello. This is not a recording. This is Larry Thornberry actually speaking. If this is a sales or a political call, hang up now. If this is a friend, a relative, or a legitimate business call, please speak..."

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Joel likes: Where's Rudy?

John Nichols/The Nation

Ron Paul has now done something that Rudy Giuliani has never done. The anti-war congressman from Texas, who famously tangled with Mr. 9/11 over foreign policy in the only interesting GOP debate, has finished in the top tier of a Republican caucus or primary contest.

"America's mayor" either wins Florida -- where he has camped out as the other candidates have slogged through Iowa, New Hampshire, Wyoming, Michigan, Nevada and now south Carolina -- or there really is no way to make a case for carrying his bizarre campaign forward.

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