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The Associated Press

America's Mayor is out.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 2 days ago

Does Giuliani's defeat mean the end of 9/11 politics?

Rudy Giuliani's distant third-place finish in Florida killed his bid for president. But does Giuliani's defeat also mark the beginning of the end of an era in Republican politics that began on Sept. 11, 2001?

Politico.com's Ben Smith and David Paul Kuhn suggest that Giuliani's national celebrity was based on his steady, comforting appearance in Americans' living rooms amid the terrorist attacks, and his campaign for president never found a message beyond that moment. But the emotional connection he forged that day, it seems, has proved politically worthless.

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Ben likes: The end of 9/11 political reporting, perhaps

Ed Morrissey/Captain's Quarters

Those of us who have followed the campaign know the reasons behind the failure had nothing to do with 9/11 -- because the campaign itself mostly avoided referencing it. The campaign lost its footing when the press began hyperventilating about a "scandal" from six years ago that even the New York Times later admitted was old news and represented no illegal conduct. It followed that with a poor decision to stop competing in the early states and allow the media to focus so much on his rivals that
Giuliani became the Forgotten Man.

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Joel likes: Goodbye, Rudy Giuliani

Matt Littman/Huffington Post

He could not stop talking about 9/11. As Joe Biden said, Rudy's sentences consist of a noun, a verb and 9/11. Rudy's constant invocation has become a running joke. For Rudy, this campaign will end. But the damage to his life -- that will go on forever. Rudy will no longer be the hero of 9/11. He will be the man who tried to capitalize on 9/11. He will not be regarded as a savior, but as a huckster, a man who took and took from our great day of tragedy to benefit only himself.

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The Associated Press

John McCain beams as Florida Gov. Charlie Crist enjoys the show.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 2 days ago

Florida fallout: McCain wins... and Giuliani leaves?

John McCain won the Florida primary, beating Mitt Romney in a closely run contest. But the Arizona senator prevailed for the most part without the help of conservatives. Yes, the win gives McCain a big boost. He has delegates, he has momentum. He even has respect. But does he have love?

Meantime, Rudy Giuliani's Florida gambit failed spectacularly and the former New York mayor is reportedly set to bow out and throw his support to McCain. Should he?

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Ben likes: From Rudy to Romney

Patrick Ruffini/Townhall.com

Despite the outcome in Florida, Republicans across the nation should spend the next week thinking long and hard about the demoralizing prospect of a McCain nomination.

There has been a fair amount of discussion of flip-flopping in this race. Well, McCain has changed a few of his positions too. He changed away from conservatism. In the 1980s and early 1990s, he was a solidly credentialed member of the Reagan-Goldwater coalition who was right in line with the people of Arizona. In the late 1990s, when he saw that he could get better press for his dark horse Presidential aspirations as a “maverick,” he changed. McCain could fairly point out that he stood on “principle.” But it is equally fair to point out that those principles aren’t ours.

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Joel likes: The win he needed

John Nichols/The Nation

Florida was the win McCain needed -- and with it all of the 57 delegates awarded in the winner-take-all contest. But it was not the win McCain wanted.

The senator Florida won on the basis of the strong support he received from the state's large blocs of moderate and liberal Republican primary voters. Unfortunately for McCain, liberals are definitely not the essential players in the Republican nominating process. Moderates are not the heart-and-soul players in the Republican Party. Conservatives are. And McCain is still struggling to win their loyalty. Indeed, even now, former Secretary of Education Bill Bennett says, "The anger and bitterness toward John McCain is extraordinary among conservatives."

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The Associated Press

The polls show Giuliani's standing has gone to the dogs.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 3 days ago

Sunshine State showdown: Will Florida be Rudy Giuliani's last hurrah?

John McCain and Mitt Romney enter Tuesday's primary in Florida trading blows over the war. But the real story, in many respects, is the vulnerable candidacy of Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

Giuliani calculated that he could essentially avoid the early contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, and South Carolina and vault to victory in Florida and the delegate-rich states lined up on February 5. If the polls are any indication, the strategy doesn't seem to be working as planned.

But what do the pollsters know, anyway? Can Giuliani come from behind? Or is the struggle between McCain and Romney the real fight?

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BEN LIKES: Guiliani's last stand

Ryan Sager/The New York Post

Faced with deficits to make up on abortion and past support for gay rights, Giuliani pursued a strategy that systematically dismantled everything that once made his candidacy appealing to his core supporters. The man who was once supposed to extend the GOP's reach outside of the South -- in states like New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, California -- instead played a southern strategy.

The best thing Giuliani can do now is to bow out gracefully should he come up with anything less than a win in Florida. He had his chance and wasted it: The least he can do now is stop wasting our time.

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JOEL LIKES: "Best dope in the world ... and it's free."

Eric Alterman/Media Matters

The media has latched onto the eggs-in-one-basket storyline, keeping Rudy's candidacy alive, despite it being totally disconnected from the facts -- as they do when assigning grand narrative arcs to candidates that bear no relation to the simple fact of how many delegates have been compiled. Reporters insist on this narrative even despite being told by Rudy himself, as our sponsors note, that he hadn't skipped New Hampshire and spent more time there than he had in Florida.

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The Associated Press

Chris Elsenbast, 17, of Ames, Iowa, worked the phones for Barack Obama. Clearly, it paid off.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 4 days ago

Is 2008 the year of the youth voter (at last)?

Every election year since the 26th Amendment extended the franchise to 18-year-olds has been heralded as the year of the youth vote. And every year has been a disappointment. Until this year. Maybe.

Young voters have been a potent force for Barack Obama's campaign, and Saturday's primary was no different. Obama got solid majorities among voters who were 18 to 24 years old, 25 to 29 years old and those 30 to 39 years old. Younger voters have also gravitated to Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul.

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Ben likes: Choose or lose

Michael Barone/National Review Online

Ronald Reagan in the 1980s attracted young voters to his party. Bill Clinton in the 1990s did the same. But in this decade, George W. Bush has conspicuously failed at the important task of capturing the youth vote. Rather to the contrary. Voters under 30 were the age group least likely to support Bush in 2000 or 2004. They were the age group least likely to support Republicans when they had a good year in 2002 and when they had a bad year in 2006. The weakness of Republicans among young voters is one reason — and, you could argue, the main demographic reason — that Democrats go into the 2008 campaign as the party more voters would like to see win.

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Joel likes: Obama's youth-driven movement

Roger Cohen/New York Times

Bryant Jones is from Idaho. He made clear he’d voted for Bush at least once. But he’s now had it with “my-way-or-the-highway politics” and the same old faces.

“I’m 25 and for my entire life a Bush or a Clinton has been in the executive office, either as vice-president or president” he said. “The United States is not about dynasties.” This young man represents something important. A new generation – for whom race is an issue overcome and baby-boomers are old folk fighting arcane battles and post-9/11 thinking must cede to post-post-9/11 creativity – is hungry for hope and willing to come even to places as hopeless as Greeleyville to demonstrate that.

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The Associated Press

They meet again.

Featured Topic | Posted 31 weeks 1 day ago

Is Florida do-or-die for the Republicans?

The ever-shrinking Republican presidential field meets for potentially the last time as a 5-way contest on Thursday night in Boca Raton. It is the only debate before the state’s crucial Jan. 29 primary. With Mitt Romney, John McCain, Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani jockeying for first in the polls, there’s a do-or-die feel to tonight's contest.

The candidates are crafting their messages that appeal to Sunshine State voters, such as plans for national disaster insurance. But what about issues that affect the rest of the country? And should the Florida debate shape the remaining primary elections?

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Ben likes: The panhandle pander

The Wall Street Journal

Will America's taxpayers underwrite hurricane insurance for Florida homeowners?

Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, desperately needing a win in the Sunshine State, has made support for the Florida bailout a centerpiece of his recent speeches. His new Web video proudly announces that among the GOP candidates, "only one has a plan to lower rates and fix the insurance mess. Tested in crisis. Ready to lead. Rudy Giuliani." So the hero of 9/11 will apply that experience to making sure South Beach homeowners can buy insurance at below-market rates. America's Mayor is now vying to become America's Insurance Commissioner.

And Giuliani isn't the only one.

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Joel likes: Pay to play

Mori Dinauer/The American Prospect

Besides being an expensive state to run ads in, Florida has also taken on the status of "must-win" for the Republican field. Rudy Giuliani, who has looked like an also-ran (if that) for weeks now, has staked his entire nomination strategy on big states like Florida. And even though he has financial problems of his own, Giuliani is likely to use whatever remains of his war chest to soak Florida in advertisements to augment his near-residential status in the Sunshine State in a Hail-Mary effort to resurrect his campaign. Romney, as the article notes, is more than capable of simply funding his own ad buys to hopefully expand his delegate lead. Put all of this together and McCain's media-designated status as the Republican front-runner hinges heavily on stopping Romney in Florida.

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