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ANWR
The Associated Press

Drill, drill on the range?

Featured Topic | Posted 18 weeks 4 days ago

Is it time to start oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?

It's a never-ending debate. Republicans say Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge should be opened for oil drilling to help America achieve energy self-sufficiency. Democrats and environmentalists say there's not enough oil in ANWR to achieve that goal -- and certainly not enough to make it worth the environmental damage.

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Ben likes: Start drilling

Robert J. Samuelson/Washington Post

It's hard for the United States to complain that other countries limit access to their reserves when we're doing the same. If higher U.S. production reduced world prices, other countries might expand production. What they couldn't get from prices they'd try to get from greater sales.

On environmental grounds, the alternatives to more drilling are usually worse. Subsidies for ethanol made from corn have increased food prices and used scarce water, with few benefits. If oil is imported, it's vulnerable to tanker spills. By contrast, local production is probably safer. There were 4,000 platforms operating in the Gulf of Mexico when hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit. Despite extensive damage, there were no major spills, says Robbie Diamond of Securing America's Future Energy, an advocacy group.

Perhaps oil prices will drop when some long-delayed projects begin production or if demand slackens. But the basic problem will remain. Though dependent on foreign oil, we might conceivably curb the power of foreign producers. But this is not a task of a month or a year. It is a task of decades; new production projects take that long. If we don't start now, our future dependence and its dangers will grow. Count on it.

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Joel likes: The president's one-track mind

Steve Benen/The Carpetbagger Report

I know we’ve been down this road before, but since it’s been a while, and in light of Bush’s emphasis on ANWR, it’s probably worth keeping a few details in mind that the president neglected to mention.

"Drilling in ANWR would likely produce only 3.2 billion barrels of oil, according to the U.S. Geological Survey, not even enough to satisfy six months’ demand; oil would not begin to reach the market for another 10 years; and it would take 50 years to extract the full amount. For this pittance, the House leadership and the administration are willing to disturb hundreds of acres of pristine wildlife habitat."

I’d just add that the NYT reported a while back that oil companies are now “largely uninterested in drilling” in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, because “any oil from the refuge would meet only a tiny fraction of America’s needs.”

My hunch is, the White House wanted to a) look like they were offering a proposal to address the gas-price problem; and b) try to pin high prices on congressional Democrats. I’d be surprised if anyone really fell for this nonsense, but given the president’s enthusiasm, it’s worth setting the record straight.

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Oil
The Associated Press

What will the price of oil mean at the pump?

Featured Topic | Posted 20 weeks 2 days ago

Oil at $115 a barrel: What now?

The price of oil reached new record highs this week -- driven in part by a weakening dollar -- alarming drivers and consumers of just about everything else. Why is oil getting so expensive? Will anything bring the cost back down? And how will we live if it doesn't?

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Ben likes: More drilling, please

Deroy Murdock

How much more pain must Americans endure before our masters in Washington let oil companies punch a few holes in the Alaskan tundra? Must we shiver pennilessly in the dark before we may extract new domestic petroleum deposits? Or shall we simply keep buying $114 barrels of oil from people who want us dead?

In case Congress missed the news, four U.S. airlines have gone broke during this month alone. Frontier declared bankruptcy, but will continue flying. Even worse, Aloha, ATA, and Skybus blamed unaffordable fuel as they grounded their jets. Aloha said sayonara to 1,900 employees, NBC News reports. ATA’s demise destroyed 2,200 jobs, while Skybus sacked 450 workers, atop the 80,000 positions lost across the economy as unemployment spiked from 4.8 percent in February to 5.1 in March.

Will we finally grow up and harness our resources, or will we childishly weep over imaginary threats to wildlife, dispatch supertankers of cash to the Middle East, and watch our petrodollars sponsor bomb belts and exploding aircraft? Merely asking this question illustrates how desperately this nation needs adult supervision.

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Joel likes: Peak oil?

Kevin Drum/Political Animal

Over the past few years Russia has been a relative bright spot on the oil scene, expanding its production by over a million barrels per day between 2002 and 2007. But it looks like Russia is now due to join Norway, Mexico, and the UK as countries that have hit their peak and are about to go into decline.

It's true that both the Saudis and the Russians have megaprojects due to come online over the next year or two, so it's not as if they're just twiddling their thumbs. Overall, though, oil at $100 a barrel sure doesn't seem to be spurring the kind of additional production you'd think it would. It's almost as if there's no net additional production to be had.

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John McCain discusses gas-tax
The Associated Press

GOP presidential hopeful Sen. John McCain discusses his idea of suspending the federal gas tax for the summer.

Featured Topic | Posted 20 weeks 5 days ago

McCain wants a gas-tax 'holiday': Should gas taxes be abolished entirely?

John McCain on Tuesday unveiled a sweeping tax reform proposal, calling for an overhaul of the tax code and a temporary suspension of the 18.3 cent-per-gallon gas tax. To help U.S. consumers weather the economic downturn, McCain urged Congress to institute a "gas-tax holiday" from Memorial Day to Labor Day.

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Ben likes: Just abolish them

Cato Institute

Many experts believe that gasoline taxes should be increased for a variety of reasons. Their arguments are unpersuasive. Oil is not disappearing, and when it becomes more expensive, market agents will substitute away from gasoline to save money. The link between oil price shocks and recessions, although real in the 1970s, has been much more benign since 1985 because of the termination of price controls. Market actors properly account for energy costs in their purchasing decisions absent government intervention.

State and federal gasoline taxes should be abolished. Local governments should tax gasoline only to the extent necessary to pay for roads when user charges are not feasible. If government feels compelled to more aggressively regulate vehicle tailpipe emissions or access to public roadways, pollution taxes and road user fees are better means of doing so than fuel taxes. Regardless, perfectly internalizing motor vehicle externalities would likely make the economy less efficient -- not more -- by inducing motorists into even more (economically) inefficient mass transit use.

The arguments advanced against increasing gasoline taxes are applicable to the broader discussion about America’s reliance on oil generally. The case for policies designed to discourage oil consumption is nearly as threadbare as the case for increasing the gasoline tax -- and for largely the same reasons.

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Joel likes: McCain economics

Jonathan Taplin/TPMCafe

John McCain has said that he doesn't know much about economics, but this morning he set out to prove that fact.

At the very point when the market is sending signals to consumers to buy more fuel efficient vehicles and the United States Treasury is increasing its borrowing to fund McCain's War surge, McCain want to make gas cheaper so people will keep buying SUV's and cut income to the Treasury so we will have to borrow more from the Chinese government. Back in February during a Republican Debate, McCain said he was going to cut wasteful spending so much that we would no longer have to borrow from the Chinese. He's a magician!

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The Associated Press

Hugo Chavez: War leader?

Featured Topic | Posted 27 weeks 13 hours ago

Is war looming in Latin America?

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has a knack for belligerent rhetoric. He's threatened to cut off oil to the United States. Now he's threatening to go to war with neighboring Colombia. Chavez on Sunday ordered Venezuela's embassy in Colombia closed and told the military to send 10 battalions to the border after Colombian troops killed a top rebel leader.

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Ben likes: Is Chavez admitting an alliance with FARC?

Ed Morrissey/Hot Air

We saw a hint of this six weeks ago. Chavez demanded that Latin American nations recognize FARC (as well as a few other terrorist groups) as “legitimate armies” despite their track record of kidnapping and drug trafficking. As the Washington Post noted, even allies of Chavez balked at that notion. Now it looks as though Chavez will take Venezuela to war to support these terrorists, hoping to undermine President Alvaro Uribe and the democratic government in Colombia.

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Joel likes: Revolution in Venezuela?

Joaquin Villalobos/The Nation

What Chávez has got wrong is his belief that he has made a revolution when in fact he's simply won some elections. And even those victories are more attributable to an arrogant, bejeweled opposition that lacks mass adherents than to Chávez. This has allowed Chávez to dominate some state institutions and to change some of the rules of the game, but it doesn't give him the leverage needed to impose the sort of drastic ideological sea change he clearly intends.

Nor does Chávez have a revolutionary army. On the contrary, the army has defeated him twice (1992 and 2002). The complicity of the army with Chávez today rests solely on weapons purchases, and that is much more about corruption than about preparing for war. It's exactly this sort of privileged corruption that closes the path to authentic revolutionary change. The Venezuelan military will neither kill nor die for Hugo Chávez.

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The Associated Press

Hugo Chavez is making noise. Again.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 9 hours ago

Will Hugo Chavez cut off oil to the U.S.?

Hugo Chavez is threatening to take his ball and go home. In this case, though, the ball is oil -- 12 percent of all U.S. oil imports come from Venezuela. Chavez is angered because a British court has frozen $12 billion in Venezuelan assets as Exxon Mobil as it challenges the nationalization of a multibillion dollar oil project by Chavez's government.

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Ben likes: Big Oil strikes back at petrotyrants

Investors Business Daily

Exxon Mobil, a $440 billion company with operations across the globe, has for decades dealt with crazy, corrupt governments. It routinely does business with the likes of Chad, Russia and Angola and knows all about them. But it's never run into a partner as outrageously bad as Venezuela. That's why its unprecedented move to take Venezuela all the way to international courts over Chavez's seizure of its assets is a big blow from the private sector against a dictatorship that otherwise seems to hold all the cards.

Exxon sends the message that playing within the rule of law is a far better means to succeed, win and play with the big boys than to break contracts, steal assets and violate internationally recognized norms, as exemplified in Chavez's Venezuela.

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Joel likes: The talented Mr. Chavez

Franklin Foer/The Atlantic

While the United States relies on Venezuelan oil, Venezuela is even more dependent on the American market. More than half of Venezuela’s oil exports head north toward the Gulf of Mexico—some 1.5 million barrels a day. Over the course of Chávez’s presidency, Venezuela has received billions of dollars from America in oil purchases.

Ultimately, not even a lover of Quixote dares invest too much hope (or cash) in preparing for a break with the American market. Nature has tied Chávez’s arms. Venezuelan crude comes from the earth in a particular viscous form that requires specialized refineries, the type that exists in Louisiana and Texas, not China or India. The country’s fleet of tankers is geared toward transporting this oil to the Gulf of Mexico, and can’t be reversioned for longer hauls. What’s more, Venezuela doesn’t just export its oil to the United States; it actually sells the stuff there in the 14,000 Citgo stations that the state oil company owns.

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