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The Associated Press

A future commander-in-chief? Or the object of mere speculation?

Featured Topic | Posted 33 weeks 6 days ago

Condoleezza Rice for Vice President?

She was the second African-American secretary of state, but the first black national security advisor. She worked for George W. Bush's father. She was provost at Stanford. She's an accomplished concert pianist. She has an oil tanker named after her. So Condoleeza Rice is certainly prominent enough for political operatives and media mavens to name her as a would-be vice-president. But is that enough?

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Ben likes: A bad choice for veep

Jay Cost/Real Clear Politics

That is how I would characterize the thought of putting Condi Rice on the Republican ticket.I am sympathetic to the idea that McCain needs a veep candidate to satisfy conservatives. I expect most self-identified Republicans will ultimately vote for him in November, but their enthusiasm would be an asset. It would be good if he can firm them up with his veep choice.However, McCain should not nominate anybody with strong attachments to the Bush administration.

George Bush's job approval rating is in the cellar. It has been in the cellar for two years, and there seems to me to be no reason to think that it will be anywhere but the cellar come Election Day. This means that the "median voter" -- the guy or gal right smack dab in the middle of the electorate who will essentially decide the whole thing -- disapproves of George W. Bush. If McCain wants to win this election, this is the person whose vote he must win. And nominating Bush's Secretary of State will hinder, rather than help him. 

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Joel likes: Run, Condi, run!

Eugene Robinson/Washington Post

She wouldn't bring any political base to the ticket, since she doesn't have one. She wouldn't bring any regional advantage, since McCain is almost certain to beat either Democrat in Rice's native state of Alabama, and almost certain to lose to either Democrat in Rice's adopted state of California.

And while McCain has tied his candidacy to the Iraq occupation, he maintains some distance from the Bush administration by charging that until recently the war was woefully mismanaged. Rice, as national security adviser in Bush's first term, was one of the mismanagers.

I can't help but imagine having another controversial, larger-than-life character wade into the fray, one who not only raises McCain's big wager on Iraq but also takes us further into terra incognita on issues of race and gender. Whatever you think of Condoleezza Rice, she's a formidable woman with more qualifications than almost any other vice presidential choice I can think of.

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Mitt Romney On The Campaign Trail
The Associated Press

Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan, but some conservatives think he's OK.

Featured Topic | Posted 43 weeks 5 hours ago

Super-duper Tuesday: Are conservative ideas waning in the GOP?

Republicans in 22 states face a great dilemma as they go to the polls Tuesday: Who is the better conservative? Four candidates are working hard to make the case to be the GOP standard-bearer. But it's turning out to be a tougher sell than any of them imagined.

But the real fight is between John McCain and Mitt Romney, who are battling for Ronald Reagan's mantle. Neither man comes close to the ideal, which leaves many conservatives -- including several prominent right-wing talk show hosts and pundits -- wondering what the future holds for their ideas.

Is conservatism fading from the party of Lincoln and Reagan? Is the Republican party moderating or abandoning the principles that made it a success?

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Ben likes: The sun'll not come out tomorrow

Mark Steyn/National Review Online

If this is, as many argue, a "long war", then in a two-party system, don't the Democrats at some point have to take joint ownership of it?Parties don't wage wars, nations do. One could make the case that the war, rather than being the sole overwhelming reason for electing McCain, is actually a compelling reason, given their convergence on domestic issues, why you might as well stick Hillary in there. I don't think Mrs. Clinton will be so eager to lose the thing once it's on her watch.

Anyway, just a glum thought. I'm now going to sleep in hopes that, when I wake up, it will all be a bad dream and Calvin Coolidge will be ahead in the primaries.

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Joel likes: The McCain divide

E.J. Dionne/The Washington Post

If John McCain secures the Republican presidential nomination, his victory would signal a revolution in American politics—a divorce, after a 28-year marriage, between the Republican and conservative establishments.

McCain would be the first Republican nominee since Gerald Ford in 1976 to win despite opposition from organized conservatism, and also the first whose base in Republican primaries rested on the party’s center and its dwindling left. McCain is winning despite conservatives, not because of them.

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The Associated Press

John McCain beams as Florida Gov. Charlie Crist enjoys the show.

Featured Topic | Posted 43 weeks 6 days ago

Florida fallout: McCain wins... and Giuliani leaves?

John McCain won the Florida primary, beating Mitt Romney in a closely run contest. But the Arizona senator prevailed for the most part without the help of conservatives. Yes, the win gives McCain a big boost. He has delegates, he has momentum. He even has respect. But does he have love?

Meantime, Rudy Giuliani's Florida gambit failed spectacularly and the former New York mayor is reportedly set to bow out and throw his support to McCain. Should he?

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Ben likes: From Rudy to Romney

Patrick Ruffini/Townhall.com

Despite the outcome in Florida, Republicans across the nation should spend the next week thinking long and hard about the demoralizing prospect of a McCain nomination.

There has been a fair amount of discussion of flip-flopping in this race. Well, McCain has changed a few of his positions too. He changed away from conservatism. In the 1980s and early 1990s, he was a solidly credentialed member of the Reagan-Goldwater coalition who was right in line with the people of Arizona. In the late 1990s, when he saw that he could get better press for his dark horse Presidential aspirations as a “maverick,” he changed. McCain could fairly point out that he stood on “principle.” But it is equally fair to point out that those principles aren’t ours.

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Joel likes: The win he needed

John Nichols/The Nation

Florida was the win McCain needed -- and with it all of the 57 delegates awarded in the winner-take-all contest. But it was not the win McCain wanted.

The senator Florida won on the basis of the strong support he received from the state's large blocs of moderate and liberal Republican primary voters. Unfortunately for McCain, liberals are definitely not the essential players in the Republican nominating process. Moderates are not the heart-and-soul players in the Republican Party. Conservatives are. And McCain is still struggling to win their loyalty. Indeed, even now, former Secretary of Education Bill Bennett says, "The anger and bitterness toward John McCain is extraordinary among conservatives."

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Featured Topic | Posted 48 weeks 19 hours ago

Is the GOP coalition coming apart?

“It’s gone,” said Ed Rollins, who once worked as President Reagan’s political director and recently became Mike Huckabee’s national campaign chairman. “The breakup of what was the Reagan coalition — social conservatives, defense conservatives, antitax conservatives — it doesn’t mean a whole lot to people anymore.”

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The Sunday Talkers

Crunchy Cons

I think it's true, as Will (I believe) said, that Romney is the only GOP candidate representing the old Reagan coalition of social conservatives, defense hawks, supply-siders and small-government libertarians. But there just aren't enough people left on the Right who are willing to accept that bargain anymore. Reagan is dead, and Romney represents the last gasp of classical Reaganism. If defense hawkishness is your thing, McCain's your man. If small government animates you, go Ron Paul. Social conservatives have Huckabee. If "Islamofascism" burns bright in your mind, Giuliani's your torch bearer. Romney tries to be all things to all people, and in a fragmented field that might be enough to win him the nomination. But he conspicuously lacks authenticity, and would stand to win only up against the most calculating and unlikable Democrat imaginable, Hillary Clinton. Romney is the purest expression of establishment Republicanism on the current scene, which to me is all the more reason to cheer for Huckabee, Paul, and even McCain.

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Huck and the Moneycons

The Washington Monthly

But I think the real reason is simpler: as with blogosphere conservatives, mainstream conservatives are mostly urban sophisticates with a libertarian bent, not rural evangelicals with a social conservative bent. They're happy to talk up NASCAR and pickup trucks in public, but in real life they mostly couldn't care less about either. Ditto for opposing abortion and the odd bit of gay bashing via proxy. But when it comes to Ten Commandments monuments and end times eschatology, they shiver inside just like any mainstream liberal. The only difference is that usually they keep their shivering to themselves because they want to keep everyone in the big tent happy.

But then along comes Huckabee, and guess what? He's the real deal. Not a guy like George Bush or Ronald Reagan, who talks a soothing game to the snake handlers but then turns around and spends his actual political capital on tax cuts, foreign wars, and deregulating big corporations. Huckabee, it turns out, isn't just giving lip service to evangelicals, he actually believes all that stuff.

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