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The Associated Press

Bowing to reality?

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 3 days ago

Romney leaves the race.

Mitt Romney's race is over, according to Ben Boychuk, Red Moderator for redblueamerica.com, who attended the announcement speech at CPAC today. Once seen as a leading contender for the GOP nomination -- because of his money and backing from the conservative establishment -- he saw the writing on the wall after Super Tuesday left him too far behind

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Ben likes: About last night

Dean Barnett/The Weekly Standard

The trouble isn't so much that John McCain's delegate lead is insurmountable, although it is significant. And Romney's problem isn't that John McCain will get an enormous bounce out of yesterday's wins. This is the year of no bouncing.

Romney's problem is that the fully mature version of his campaign has faced the fully mature versions of the Huckabee and McCain campaigns all over the country. Romney hasn't done well. Although past performances don't necessarily guarantee the results of future contests, it's tough to picture what Romney can do to shake up the race and begin getting those extra votes he'll need in each future state to turn losses into victories.

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Joel likes: No base like home

Bruce Reed/Slate

Mitt Romney found himself in a desperate quest to rally true believers – a role for which his even temper and uneven record leave him spectacularly unsuited. Romney knows how to tell the party faithful everything they want to hear. But it's not easy for a man who prides himself on his optimism, polish, and good fortune to stir anger and mutiny in the conservative base. Only a pitchfork rebellion can stop McCain now, and Luddites won't man the ramparts because they like your PowerPoint.

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Voters wait in line on Super Tuesday.
The Associated Press

Some of these people are still waiting in line to vote.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 5 days ago

What if Super Tuesday isn't the end?

It's Super Tuesday night, and it looks to be a long one. The exit polls are showing some unexpected numbers for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. The delegate fight is still a pitched battle for John McCain and Hillary Clinton.

(Our own Joel Mathis is liveblogging from the Kansas caucus.)

But don't forget, there are some major primaries and caucuses ahead. And even as the returns start rolling in across the country Tuesday, the Republican and Democratic campaigns are looking ahead to contests in Washington, Nebraska, Virginia, Ohio and Texas. The strategizing has only just begun.

Share your thoughts about how the race is shaping up in your state, how you voted, what surprised you and what you think will happen next.

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Ben likes: Obamamania and a GOP toss-up

Michelle Malkin

Fred Barnes marveled on Fox News about Huckabee possibly taking “five states! five states!” Barnes called it a “remarkable comeback.” Before anyone gets carried away with talk of a Huck resurgence, though, most of his victories are taking place in states that aren’t winner-take-all. Whatever delegates he picks up in Georgia, Alabama, etc., will be more than offset by his zero showings in NY and NJ and his weak showings in California, Illinois.

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Joel likes: Thoughts on the exits

John B. Judis/The Plank

While Obama has clearly caught up to, and perhaps passed, Clinton in the battle for the nomination, they continue to have complementary strengths and weaknesses. To win in November, Obama is going to have do much much better among the white working class--one can assume that he would get Clinton's female voters just as she would get his African American voters. Clinton, on other hand, looks very shaky among white men. There remains a question, too, whether the young voters and independents who have flocked to Obama's banner would vote for her in the fall.

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Mitt Romney On The Campaign Trail
The Associated Press

Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan, but some conservatives think he's OK.

Featured Topic | Posted 30 weeks 6 days ago

Super-duper Tuesday: Are conservative ideas waning in the GOP?

Republicans in 22 states face a great dilemma as they go to the polls Tuesday: Who is the better conservative? Four candidates are working hard to make the case to be the GOP standard-bearer. But it's turning out to be a tougher sell than any of them imagined.

But the real fight is between John McCain and Mitt Romney, who are battling for Ronald Reagan's mantle. Neither man comes close to the ideal, which leaves many conservatives -- including several prominent right-wing talk show hosts and pundits -- wondering what the future holds for their ideas.

Is conservatism fading from the party of Lincoln and Reagan? Is the Republican party moderating or abandoning the principles that made it a success?

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Ben likes: The sun'll not come out tomorrow

Mark Steyn/National Review Online

If this is, as many argue, a "long war", then in a two-party system, don't the Democrats at some point have to take joint ownership of it?Parties don't wage wars, nations do. One could make the case that the war, rather than being the sole overwhelming reason for electing McCain, is actually a compelling reason, given their convergence on domestic issues, why you might as well stick Hillary in there. I don't think Mrs. Clinton will be so eager to lose the thing once it's on her watch.

Anyway, just a glum thought. I'm now going to sleep in hopes that, when I wake up, it will all be a bad dream and Calvin Coolidge will be ahead in the primaries.

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Joel likes: The McCain divide

E.J. Dionne/The Washington Post

If John McCain secures the Republican presidential nomination, his victory would signal a revolution in American politics—a divorce, after a 28-year marriage, between the Republican and conservative establishments.

McCain would be the first Republican nominee since Gerald Ford in 1976 to win despite opposition from organized conservatism, and also the first whose base in Republican primaries rested on the party’s center and its dwindling left. McCain is winning despite conservatives, not because of them.

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The Associated Press

The next occupant of this house will be a problem-solver, if younger voters have their say.

Featured Topic | Posted 31 weeks 11 hours ago

Are Americans entering a new age of pragmatism?

Will the 2008 presidential election turn out to be the last hurrah for the ideals of the Baby Boomer generation?

More and more, the discussion on the campaign trail is turning away from idealism and toward a discussion of "pragmatism." Stressing practice over theory is nowhere more pronounced than with younger voters. Ben Lazarus, a Yale sophomore who is active in the student group for Obama, put it this way: "There's a new sensibility in how our generation looks at politics and elections. We look at people who are genuine. We look at people who are problem-solvers."

Would America be better off with a president who appeals to people's ideals? Or does the United States need a chief executive who is a practical problem-solver first and foremost?

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Ben likes: A different perspective

Victor Davis Hanson/National Review Online

Anyone who saw the Democratic debate Thursday night can envision the new future on their horizon: identity politics and self-congratulation over race and gender; tax increases (back to estate tax hikes, income tax rates go up, payroll tax caps lifted, etc); internationalism for the sake of internationalism (defer to the U.N., E.U., apologies for past conduct, contextualizing terrorism), more government (teachers, the poor, the middle class, etc. all need new government programs to add to those we have), and legislating judges (more Ginsburgs and Breyers).

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Joel likes: The Boomers had their day... make way for the Millennials

Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais/Washington Post

American history suggests that about every 80 years, a civic (or Joshua) generation, emerges to make over the country after a period of upheaval caused by the fervor of an idealist (or Moses) generation. In 1828, 1860, 1896, 1932 and 1968, as members of new generations -- alternately idealist and civic -- began to vote in large numbers, the United States experienced major political shifts. This year, the civic-minded millennials, born between 1982 and 2003, are coming of age and promising to turn the political landscape, currently defined by idealist baby boomers such as Clinton and George W. Bush, upside down.

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The Associated Press

Schwarzenegger and McCain, political twins.

Featured Topic | Posted 31 weeks 2 days ago

Who is winning the celebrity endorsement primary?

John McCain has the Terminator in his corner. California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger endorsed McCain for president this week, saying the Arizona senator "has shown over and over again he is reaching across the aisle to get things done."

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Ben likes: The value of the Schwarzenegger endorsement

Alan Katz/The Alan Katz Political Blog

Interestingly, the Governor’s endorsement could have greater influence with voters outside of California whose opinions are unsullied by news coverage of his problems with other Republicans back home.

Yet the greatest value may have nothing to do with voters casting their ballot based on Governor Schwarzenegger’s recommendation. Instead it may stem from the Oscar-worthy coverage the endorsement has generated. And when you’re running against a well funded opponent like former Governor Mitt Romney, that of kind nationwide free publicity is worth millions.

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Joel likes: Politics as blood sport, or why the GOP rules

Rex W. Huppke/The Chicago Tribune

Studies have tried to debunk the value of celebrity endorsements, as if a nation deliriously hooked on entertainment could never be duped by Hollywood. But seeing as we've now elevated our presidential hopefuls to celebrity status -- people turn out for an Obama rally like Jersey girls to a Bruce Springsteen concert -- it seems only fair to weigh their chances based in part on the company they keep.

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