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John McCain, Mike Huckabee
The Associated Press

Still a battle?

Featured Topic | Posted 42 weeks 17 hours ago

Funny business in the Washington caucus?

Another sign the GOP nominating contest isn't over: Mike Huckabee is protesting the results of Saturday's Washington caucus -- which was called for John McCain with 87 percent of votes counted, even though Huckabee was close behind.

Is the GOP protecting the presumptive nominee? Do the Washington caucus results even mean that much?

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Ben likes: Why the controversy is much ado about nothing

Jim Geraghty/National Review

I spoke to the other source in Washington State I trust, Seattle-based radio talk show host Kirby Wilbur.

He too, says the controversy over the Washington caucuses is much ado about nothing.

"There is no legal connection or obligation between the delegates to the county convention that we voted for yesterday and the delegates who go to the GOP Convention in St. Paul. Because Huckabee got 25 percent doesn't mean he gets 25 percent of the delegates to the national convention. Romney got 16 percent, Paul got 20 percent. They could decide to go all for Paul, or some other direction. There's no numerical tie between results of the caucuses and who actually goes to the convention."

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Joel likes: WTF?

Josh Marshall/Talking Points Memo

In terms of consequence, Bush v. Gore it ain't. This is a relatively small contest in a nomination campaign that appears to be over. But this is something you'd expect either from Soviet history or a farcical passage in a Faulkner novel. And let's not forget the context. Huckabee starts the day with a blowout win in Kansas. That evening he gets the largest number of votes in Louisiana. Then in the third contest he's neck and neck with John McCain and looks like he may win all three contests of the day -- a shut-out for the all-but-declared nominee. Then as it's going down to the wire, the head of the state party decides he's seen enough and calls it for McCain.

This one looks and quacks like a duck. So someone should give it a much closer look.

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Mike Huckabee
The Associated Press

Mike Huckabee won big in Kansas. Is it too late to challenge McCain?

Featured Topic | Posted 42 weeks 2 days ago

Huckabee: In it to win it?

Maybe it's early to start fitting John McCain for the Republican crown. Mike Huckabee -- who has refused requests to withdraw from the GOP race -- beat McCain handily in Saturday's Kansas caucus, by a more than 2-to-1 margin.

Is the GOP race still open? Is Huckabee's win an isolated event, or does it signify that McCain still has big troubles with the Republican base?

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Ben likes: Huck, for the long haul

John O'Sullivan/National Review

We may see Huckabee in the race till after the Texas and Ohio primaries and, if he wins them, maybe well beyond.

He does well by running against the establishment, it seems to me, and the longer he stays in by winning or doing respectably, the more he builds up his reputation for 2012. After all, suppose he ends up with more delegates than Romney?
That is now quite likely. Huckabee is getting his own votes, the votes of all those dubious about McCain who don't want Ron Paul, and the votes of those who simply want the race to continue—people who, like Huckabee himself, are having fun.

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Joel likes:Kansas

Kevin Drum/Political Animal

What a blowout. Usually, even among true believers, you expect a party to rally around its presumptive nominee. But Kansas Republicans weren't buying, and they weren't content just to show a pro forma lack of enthusiasm. They crushed McCain like a bug, voting for Huckabee 60%-24%. Hell, "other" almost beat McCain.

There's no point in making too much of this. McCain is going to win the nomination and the party faithful will support him. But it's going to be a fight for McCain to win their love, and that fight might well keep him from broadening his appeal to the middle. Come November, liberals might not be the only ones asking What's the Matter With Kansas?

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Voters wait in line on Super Tuesday.
The Associated Press

Some of these people are still waiting in line to vote.

Featured Topic | Posted 42 weeks 6 days ago

What if Super Tuesday isn't the end?

It's Super Tuesday night, and it looks to be a long one. The exit polls are showing some unexpected numbers for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. The delegate fight is still a pitched battle for John McCain and Hillary Clinton.

(Our own Joel Mathis is liveblogging from the Kansas caucus.)

But don't forget, there are some major primaries and caucuses ahead. And even as the returns start rolling in across the country Tuesday, the Republican and Democratic campaigns are looking ahead to contests in Washington, Nebraska, Virginia, Ohio and Texas. The strategizing has only just begun.

Share your thoughts about how the race is shaping up in your state, how you voted, what surprised you and what you think will happen next.

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Ben likes: Obamamania and a GOP toss-up

Michelle Malkin

Fred Barnes marveled on Fox News about Huckabee possibly taking “five states! five states!” Barnes called it a “remarkable comeback.” Before anyone gets carried away with talk of a Huck resurgence, though, most of his victories are taking place in states that aren’t winner-take-all. Whatever delegates he picks up in Georgia, Alabama, etc., will be more than offset by his zero showings in NY and NJ and his weak showings in California, Illinois.

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Joel likes: Thoughts on the exits

John B. Judis/The Plank

While Obama has clearly caught up to, and perhaps passed, Clinton in the battle for the nomination, they continue to have complementary strengths and weaknesses. To win in November, Obama is going to have do much much better among the white working class--one can assume that he would get Clinton's female voters just as she would get his African American voters. Clinton, on other hand, looks very shaky among white men. There remains a question, too, whether the young voters and independents who have flocked to Obama's banner would vote for her in the fall.

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Mitt Romney On The Campaign Trail
The Associated Press

Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan, but some conservatives think he's OK.

Featured Topic | Posted 43 weeks 4 hours ago

Super-duper Tuesday: Are conservative ideas waning in the GOP?

Republicans in 22 states face a great dilemma as they go to the polls Tuesday: Who is the better conservative? Four candidates are working hard to make the case to be the GOP standard-bearer. But it's turning out to be a tougher sell than any of them imagined.

But the real fight is between John McCain and Mitt Romney, who are battling for Ronald Reagan's mantle. Neither man comes close to the ideal, which leaves many conservatives -- including several prominent right-wing talk show hosts and pundits -- wondering what the future holds for their ideas.

Is conservatism fading from the party of Lincoln and Reagan? Is the Republican party moderating or abandoning the principles that made it a success?

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Ben likes: The sun'll not come out tomorrow

Mark Steyn/National Review Online

If this is, as many argue, a "long war", then in a two-party system, don't the Democrats at some point have to take joint ownership of it?Parties don't wage wars, nations do. One could make the case that the war, rather than being the sole overwhelming reason for electing McCain, is actually a compelling reason, given their convergence on domestic issues, why you might as well stick Hillary in there. I don't think Mrs. Clinton will be so eager to lose the thing once it's on her watch.

Anyway, just a glum thought. I'm now going to sleep in hopes that, when I wake up, it will all be a bad dream and Calvin Coolidge will be ahead in the primaries.

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Joel likes: The McCain divide

E.J. Dionne/The Washington Post

If John McCain secures the Republican presidential nomination, his victory would signal a revolution in American politics—a divorce, after a 28-year marriage, between the Republican and conservative establishments.

McCain would be the first Republican nominee since Gerald Ford in 1976 to win despite opposition from organized conservatism, and also the first whose base in Republican primaries rested on the party’s center and its dwindling left. McCain is winning despite conservatives, not because of them.

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The Associated Press

They're smiling, not bearing their fangs.

Featured Topic | Posted 43 weeks 4 days ago

Who's the conservative Republican here, anyway?

"If you get endorsed by the New York Times," Mitt Romney told John McCain at Wednesday night's Republican debate, "you're probably not a conservative."

"Let me note that I was endorsed by your two hometown newspapers who know you best," McCain replied, "including the very conservative Boston Herald who know you well better than anybody."

A newspaper's editorial endorsement may not be the last word on who is or isn't a conservative, but the question of who's the most conservative Republican contender for the White House is spurring hot debate. As it should.

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Ben likes: Is McCain a conservative?

Robert Novak/The Washington Post

Conservatives among want two assurances: first, that McCain would veto any tax increase passed by a Democratic Congress; second, that he would not emulate Gerald R. Ford and George H.W. Bush in naming liberal Supreme Court justices such as John Paul Stevens and David Souter.

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Joel likes: Florida postmortem

Scott Lemieux/Tapped

It should be easy for conservatives to get over their McCain issues since overall he was always the most conservative of the major candidates, but of course if these pundits were rational they would already see that.

And if Democrats give the GOP the gift of Clinton, which still seems very likely, these pundits can pretty much ignore McCain and focus entirely on Hillary Clinton's purported Trotskyism, murder and drug running operations, "shrillness," her husband's penis, etc.

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