Archive - Apr 26, 2008 - topic

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Type
Hillary Clinton and Rep. Baron Hill
The Associated Press

Hillary Clinton is closing the popular vote and delegate gaps with Barack Obama. But also she needs superdelegates, such as Rep. Baron Hill, D-Ind., if she hopes to win the nomination.

Featured Topic | Posted 29 weeks 3 days ago

Superdelegate stalemate: Can the Democrats settle on a candidate and avert a schism?

The Democratic nomination contest could go all the way to June, and perhaps even to the Democratic National Convention in August.

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Ben likes: 'Popular' is Hillary's middle name

Michael Barone/National Review Online

One thing many people haven’t noticed about Hillary Clinton’s 55 percent to 45 percent victory over Barack Obama in the Pennsylvania primary is that it put her ahead of Obama in the popular vote. Her 214,000-vote margin in the Keystone State means that she has won the votes, in primaries and caucuses, of 15,112,000 Americans, compared to 14,993,000 for Obama.

If you add in the votes, as estimated by the folks at realclearpolitics.com, in the Iowa, Nevada, Washington, and Maine caucuses, where state Democratic parties did not count the number of caucus-attenders, Clinton still has a lead of 12,000 votes.

Moreover, she may be able to maintain that lead, despite an expected Obama victory in North Carolina on May 6, by rolling up big popular vote margins in West Virginia on May 13, Kentucky on May 20 and Puerto Rico on June 1. So it’s likely that Clinton will be able to argue that undecided super-delegates should heed the will of the people.

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Joel likes: Heading toward the danger zone

Bob Herbert/New York Times

Hillary Clinton may be behind, and she may lose. But she is now widely seen as the tougher of the two candidates, the one who is more resolute, who will fight harder and longer (and, yes, more unscrupulously) to achieve her desired ends. An edge in toughness is hardly a good quality to cede to your opponent.

Some Democratic officials who were worried about having Senator Clinton at the top of the ticket in November are now expressing concern about Mr. Obama. Mrs. Clinton’s bar-brawl tactics have raised her negatives sharply, but they’ve also raised doubts about Mr. Obama. Is he a fighter? Is he tough enough to take on the G.O.P.?

One of Senator Obama’s favorite phrases is “the fierce urgency of now.” There is nothing more fiercely urgent for him right now than to reassure voters and superdelegates that an Obama candidacy will not lead to a Democratic debacle in November.

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Nancy Pelosi
The Associated Press

If you squint, she almost looks like Ed McMahon handing out a Publisher's Clearing House prize.

Featured Topic | Posted 29 weeks 3 days ago

Will the stimulus checks actually stimulate the economy?

President Bush said tax rebates will start going out Monday, earlier than previously announced, and should help Americans cope with rising gasoline and food prices, as well as aid a slumping economy. Those first rebates will be directly deposited into people's bank accounts.

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Ben likes: To Wii or not to Wii?

Robert VerBruggen/National Review

Some economists object, saying people don’t change their spending habits on the basis of a one-time cash influx. Other economists say, “So what?” — banks will invest their savings, and that, too, will help the economy. Still others insist the bill will just “move money around.”

I’m no economist, so I’ll trust my government: For the good of the country, I will use my stimulus windfall for purchases I wouldn’t otherwise make. I’ve decided to spend $600 on video games. I’m a public-spirited guy.

In the spirit of patriotism, I figure I’ll need to grab the terrorist-killing Call of Duty 4, and that should take care of all my free money for the year.

I’ll have served my country well.

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Joel likes: The stimulus that can't stimulate

Elizabeth Warren/Credit Slips

Hanging the worldwide economic recovery on reigniting consumer spending is like investing in used fireworks.  The pizzazz is already gone. 

How are Americans planning to spend their stimulus checks?  According to a new poll, fully 41 percent of Americans plan to pay down their debts.

Debt is crowding out consumer spending.  A family that is paying 18.9% on a balance of $8000 has a lot less money left over for basic purchases, much less any money to buy anything new.

Alan Greenspan thought that it was great for Americans to continue spending in the 1990s and early 2000s because it kept the economy healthy.  But it didn't keep the economy--or the family--healthy. Instead, it meant that we had a false boom, growth that was financed out of tomorrow's earnings.  Now the bills are coming due.

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