Archive - Jan 30, 2008 - topic

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The Associated Press

The party conventions could be livelier than usual this year.

Featured Topic | Posted 49 weeks 11 hours ago

Looking to Super-duper Tuesday: Are brokered conventions possible?

Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama are locked in a drawn-out war of attrition for the Democratic presidential nomination, sure to be fighting for delegates beyond next Tuesday no matter who comes out ahead on the primary season's biggest day. A similar scenario may be developing on the Republican side, with none of the candidates emerging with the necessary 1,200 delegates to lock up the nomination.

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Ben likes: Death by brokered convention

Daniel Larison/Eunomia

A brokered convention would draw a lot of media attention, and it would give endless material for political reporters and pundits to talk about. But while there would be a lot of media exposure it’s not clear to me that this works to the benefit of the eventual nominee and the party. In some respects, a hard-fought nomination contest improves all of the candidates running and prepares them for the general election, but as with any long, drawn-out internal contest the winner at the end comes away muddied and bloodied and vulnerable.

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Joel likes: The convention delegate process explained

Sam Boyd/The American Prospect

Brokered conventions (where no candidate arrives with a majority of the delegates) are predicted every four years, and every four years they don't actually happen. However, it does seem likely this year that we'll, at the very least, see a closer result than any since 1980 or even 1968. We might not even know who will win until the convention gets underway. Edwards could act as a kingmaker by throwing his delegates to Clinton or Obama and putting him or her over the top (his delegates would not be required to follow his instructions, but they will likely be personally loyal to him). Or, unelected superdelegates could throw the nomination to a candidate who comes in second in pledged delegates. Even if the result is known at the start of the convention, it might not be determined until June or July.

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The Associated Press

Which man is more irritated with the other?

Featured Topic | Posted 49 weeks 14 hours ago

McCain, Romney trade potshots at Republican debate

CNN

Yes, Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul were on stage for Wednesday's Republican presidential debate. No, it didn't seem to matter -- Mitt Romney and John McCain were given the most time to engage each other, over their records, their beliefs on Iraq and on taxes.

With Super Tuesday just a few days away, did Mitt Romney help himself overcome McCain's momentum? Or is the Republican campaign virtually over?

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Ben likes: Romney wins

Ed Morrisey/Captain's Quarters

Mitt Romney won this debate. He looked crisp, sharp, had facts at his command, and exuded confidence.

McCain not only looked old and tired, constantly leaning on his arms and speaking in a monotone, he made a very poor showing in trying to falsely stretch a Romney quote from April into an endorsement of a withdrawal. That's not only ridiculous, it's blatantly a smear. As I pointed out earlier, John McCain in January 2007 actually did talk about ending the mission if surge milestones didn't get met by the Iraqi government, making this a pretty dumb choice for a line in the sand. And even Anderson Cooper had to talk over John McCain to tell him he got it wrong.

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Joel likes: Romney's swan song?

Chuck Todd/MSNBC

The question Romney must be asking himself is what is his ultimate goal now? Should he do everything he can to stop McCain now or should he figure out how to run, but do so with dignity so he can keep his options open in the future, should McCain fail to win the general. As McCain is about to prove, the GOP regularly nominates the runners-up in previous primaries; Reagan, Bush and Dole to name a few. Romney, though, does need to play the conservative critic of McCain for a certain length of time in order to win the loyalty of the conservatives who aren't happy with McCain now. These folks could serve Romney well in '12 or '16.

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The Associated Press

To the tummy or the tank?

Featured Topic | Posted 49 weeks 18 hours ago

Does ethanol mean the end of cheap food?

It's called "agflation" -- a 75 percent rise in the cost of food that stems, in part, from U.S. government ethanol subsidies that has farmers growing corn for fuel instead of nutrition.

What will the quest for biofuels do to the cost of a home-cooked meal? Is it worth it? Or is it, as some have suggested, a crime against humanity?

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Ben likes: Corn on the mob

Patrick J. Michaels/The American Spectator

Displacing 20 percent of gasoline consumption is probably impossible. The U.S. produces more than half the world's corn, and if we turned every kernel of it into ethanol, we'd still be 40 percent short of the President's target.

To get there, we would have to find an economic way to make ethanol from cruder plant materials -- so-called "cellulosic" ethanol. No matter how much money governments throw at this (including a lot from the 2005 energy bill), no one has figured outhow to do this economically, and people have been at it for decades.

Of course, we won't completely burn up our corn. We'll incrementally ratchet it up until the inflation in food prices becomes politically untenable. Don't be surprised, one day, if there's a March for Food down Constitution Mall.

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Joel likes: The western appetite for biofuels is causing starvation in the poor world

George Monbiot/Guardian Unlimited

It doesn't get madder than this. Swaziland is in the grip of a famine and receiving emergency food aid. Forty per cent of its people are facing acute food shortages. So what has the government decided to export? Biofuel made from one of its staple crops, cassava.

The trade should be frozen until second-generation fuels - made from wood or straw or waste - become commercially available. Otherwise, the superior purchasing power of drivers in the rich world means that they will snatch food from people's mouths. Run your car on virgin biofuel, and other people will starve.

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The Associated Press

America's Mayor is out.

Featured Topic | Posted 49 weeks 22 hours ago

Does Giuliani's defeat mean the end of 9/11 politics?

Rudy Giuliani's distant third-place finish in Florida killed his bid for president. But does Giuliani's defeat also mark the beginning of the end of an era in Republican politics that began on Sept. 11, 2001?

Politico.com's Ben Smith and David Paul Kuhn suggest that Giuliani's national celebrity was based on his steady, comforting appearance in Americans' living rooms amid the terrorist attacks, and his campaign for president never found a message beyond that moment. But the emotional connection he forged that day, it seems, has proved politically worthless.

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Ben likes: The end of 9/11 political reporting, perhaps

Ed Morrissey/Captain's Quarters

Those of us who have followed the campaign know the reasons behind the failure had nothing to do with 9/11 -- because the campaign itself mostly avoided referencing it. The campaign lost its footing when the press began hyperventilating about a "scandal" from six years ago that even the New York Times later admitted was old news and represented no illegal conduct. It followed that with a poor decision to stop competing in the early states and allow the media to focus so much on his rivals that
Giuliani became the Forgotten Man.

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Joel likes: Goodbye, Rudy Giuliani

Matt Littman/Huffington Post

He could not stop talking about 9/11. As Joe Biden said, Rudy's sentences consist of a noun, a verb and 9/11. Rudy's constant invocation has become a running joke. For Rudy, this campaign will end. But the damage to his life -- that will go on forever. Rudy will no longer be the hero of 9/11. He will be the man who tried to capitalize on 9/11. He will not be regarded as a savior, but as a huckster, a man who took and took from our great day of tragedy to benefit only himself.

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The Associated Press

He couldn't win a primary race this time.

Featured Topic | Posted 49 weeks 1 day ago

Edwards out: Does this help Clinton or Obama?

Today, we were going to tell you why John Edwards is staying in the Democratic race -- so that he could play kingmaker in the event of a brokered Democratic convention between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama this summer. There's only one problem with the scenario: Edwards is announcing today that he is getting out of the race now.

How did Edwards go from being his party's vice presidential nominee to an also-ran? How did he affect the race? And what does his departure mean for the battle between Clinton and Obama?

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Ben likes: Edwards Quits -- One Woman Hardest Hit

Ed Morrissey/Captain's Quarters

Unlike other candidates who have dropped from contention, Edwards actually has a significant number of delegates. They can now vote for whomever they desire at the convention, although an Edwards endorsement will likely carry a lot of weight. However, the influence of Edwards goes well beyond delegate counts, and both of the remaining candidates know it.

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Joel likes: Populism's candidate

Chris Hayes/The Nation

No matter who wins the Democratic nomination, the fact remains that the Edwards campaign has set the domestic policy agenda for the entire field. He was the first with a bold universal healthcare plan, the first with an ambitious climate change proposal that called for cap-and-trade, and the leader on reforming predatory lending practices and raising the minimum wage to a level where it regains its lost purchasing power. Edwards's rhetoric has started to bleed into his rivals' speeches as well.

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The Associated Press

Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass. addresses a rally last year in support of repealing "Don't Ask, Don't Tell."

Featured Topic | Posted 49 weeks 1 day ago

"Don't Ask, Don't Tell" turns 15: Retain or repeal?

It was 15 years ago, Tuesday, that President Clinton rolled out the policy that came to be known as "Don't Ask, Don't Tell," which relaxed the long-standing bar against gay men and women serving in the U.S. military. While the move was initially hailed as progress for the rights of gays in the military, today many see it as a liability.

About 12,000 service members have been booted from the military since the law took effect, including dozens of Arabic speakers whose skills are particularly prized by the military since the advent of the war on terror.

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Ben likes: Ask, tell, enlist

Ed Morrissey/Captain's Quarters

If gays and lesbians were the cause of degraded morale and unit cohesion, then that damage would occur regardless of whether they kept quiet or not. If the Pentagon argues that the revelation causes the damage, then the problem isn't the gays or lesbians, but the bigots in the ranks that suddenly find out about them. That sounds exactly like the problem that the Pentagon had when it considered desegregating the services after World War II, and they finally rejected the option of coddling the bigots.

So should we now. Perhaps wartime makes for a difficult circumstance for a policy change, but this war will likely be generational, and we need as much support as we can muster.

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Joel likes: Testifying in New York

Cholene Espinoza/Servicemembers Legal Defense Network

The American people take that phrase “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” at face value. Most believe that the policy allows a person to serve as a gay American so long as he or she does not tell anyone. Unfortunately, as we know from our SLDN client base of approximately 75 cases at any one time, men and women can be discharged because someone else “tells,” such as a mother who can’t stand the thought of her son returning to Iraq, or a jealous partner, or an intercepted innocent e-mail from an admirer back home.

And because the criterion for discharge is “credible evidence from a reliable source,” with no standard for what “credible” or “reliable” means, the policy is arbitrarily enforced at the discretion of the commander.

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